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		<title>Bob Prechter Points Out The Many Signs Of Deflation</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 13:47:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Deflation]]></category>
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Yes, You Heard Us Right
February 18, 2010
By Nico Isaac
Everywhere  you look, the mainstream financial experts are  pinning on their &#8220;WIN  2&#8243; buttons in a show of solidarity against what  they see as the number one  threat to the U.S. economy: Whip  Inflation Now.
There&#8217;s  just one problem: They&#8217;re primed [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3 style="margin-top: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span>Yes, You Heard Us Right</span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-small;">February 18, 2010</span></h3>
<h3 style="margin-top: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: x-small;">By Nico Isaac</span></h3>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Everywhere  you look, the mainstream financial experts are  pinning on their &#8220;WIN  2&#8243; buttons in a show of solidarity against what  they see as the number one  threat to the U.S. economy: <strong>W</strong>hip  <em><strong>I</strong>nflation</em> <strong>N</strong>ow.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">There&#8217;s  just one problem: They&#8217;re primed to fight the wrong  enemy. Fact is, despite ten  rate cuts by the Federal Reserve Board to  record low levels plus $13 trillion  (and counting) in government  bailout money over the past three years &#8212; the <em>Demand  For</em> and <em>Availability  Of</em> credit is plunging. Without a borrower or  lender, the massive  supply of debt <em>LOSES</em> value, bringing down every  exposed  investment like one long, toppling row of dominoes.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">This is  the condition known as <em>Deflation. </em></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><em><span id="more-261"></span></em>And, in  a special, expanded <a href="http://www.elliottwave.com/r.asp?acn=7fxr&amp;rcn=aa68&amp;dy=aa021810&amp;url=/club/most-important-investment-report/default.aspx?code=39911%26articleid=1265" target="_blank">November   19, 2009 <em><strong>Elliott  Wave Theorist</strong></em></a>, Bob  Prechter uncovered more than a  dozen &#8220;value depreciating&#8221; developments  underway in the U.S. economy  as the two main engines of credit  expansion sputter: Banks and Consumers. Off  the top of the <em>Theorist&#8217;s </em>watch list are these &#8220;Continuing and  Looming Deflationary  Forces&#8221;:</p>
<ul style="text-align: justify;" type="disc">
<li>A riveting chart of Treasury Holdings as a  Percentage of US       Chartered Bank Assets since 1952 shows how &#8220;safe&#8221;  bank deposits       really are. In short: today&#8217;s banks are about 95%  invested in mortgages       via the purchase of federal agency  securities. Unlike Treasuries, IOU&#8217;s with       homes as collateral have  &#8220;tremendous potential&#8221; to fall in       dollar value.</li>
<li>Loan Availability to Small Businesses has fallen to the  lowest       level since the interest rate crises of 1980. In Bob  Prechter&#8217;s own words: <em>&#8220;The means of debt repayment [via business  growth] are       evaporating, which implies further deflationary  pressure within the       banking system.&#8221; </em></li>
<li>An all-inclusive close-up of the Number Of Banks Tightening  Their       Lending Standards since 1997 has this message to impart:  Since peaking in       October 2008, lending restrictions have soared,  thereby significantly       reducing the overall credit supply.</li>
<li>Both residential and commercial mortgages are plummeting as        home/business owners walk away from their leases at an increasing  rate.</li>
<li>The major sources of bank revenue &#8212; consumer credit and  state       taxes &#8212; are plunging as more people opt to pay DOWN their  debt. Also, a       compelling chart of leveraged buyouts since 1995  shows a third catalyst       for the credit binge &#8212; private equity &#8212;  on the decline.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: justify;">All that is just the beginning.  The November 2009 <em>Elliott  Wave Theorist </em>includes 13 pages of  commentary, riveting charts,  and unparalleled insight that make it impossible  to ignore the  deflationary shift underway in the financial landscape. For that   reason, we have compiled the most timely insights from the entire,   two-part <em>Theorist </em>in a special article for Club EWI   members. In our opinion, this bundle of exclusive <em>Theorist </em>excerpts  are &#8220;the most important investment report you&#8217;ll read in  2010.&#8221;</p>
<p style="border: 5px solid #cccccc; padding: 10px; text-align: justify;">Elliott Wave International&#8217;s latest free  report puts 2010 into  perspective like no other. <strong>The Most Important Investment Report   You&#8217;ll Read in 2010 </strong>is a must-read for all independent-minded   investors. The 13-page report is available for free download now. <strong><a href="http://www.elliottwave.com/r.asp?acn=7fxr&amp;rcn=aa68&amp;dy=aa021810&amp;url=/club/most-important-investment-report/default.aspx?code=39911%26articleid=1265" target="_blank">Learn   more here.</a></strong></p>
<hr style="text-align: justify;" size="1" />
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong><em>Nico  Isaac</em></strong><em> writes for Elliott  Wave International,  a market forecasting and technical analysis firm.</em></p>
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